Good morning. We talk with Maggie Haberman to prepare you for the week when Donald Trump will likely be arrested. |
| Former President Donald Trump gesturing to supporters.Evan Vucci/Associated Press |
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Donald Trump is expected to fly to New York this week from his home in Florida to be arrested. For now, the specific charges are unknown because the indictment is under seal, but they involve his role in the payment of hush money during the 2016 presidential campaign to cover up an extramarital affair. |
David: You've reported that Trump and his aides were surprised by the news and didn't expect an indictment for a few weeks — if at all. What's the atmosphere like at Mar-a-Lago on the days after? |
Maggie: They're still trying to assess what is happening on a few fronts. One is the political front, which I'd say they were most prepared on. |
Another is the legal front, which is messy because his team has had a lot of infighting, and there's finger pointing about why they were so caught off guard. The lawyers also don't yet know the charges because it's a sealed indictment. |
Finally, there is the emotional front. While Trump is not said to be throwing things, he is extremely angry and his family is, not surprisingly, rattled. |
Maggie: You raise a point some lawyers have raised privately. All the prosecutors were concerned about being first with a historical precedent. And now there is a broken seal of sorts. That said, Republicans who dislike Trump are saying privately they wish this case wasn't first because they view it as more trivial than the others. |
David: Is there one of those other investigations that most worries Trumpworld? |
Maggie: Georgia has bothered Trump personally for a while, possibly because there are tapes of him telling officials to find votes. Some of his aides are very worried about the documents investigation that the Justice Department has. It's a clearer-cut issue, and a federal judge overseeing grand jury matters showed in a recent ruling that she's taking the government's claims seriously. |
David: Trump has faced major legal threats to his business career in the past and always managed to escape criminal charges. How does this compare to those earlier threats? |
Maggie: Trump has been trying to avoid being indicted since he was first criminally investigated in the 1970s. He actually hasn't faced enormous criminal legal threats since then. He has instead operated in a world in which so much is based on machine politics and what Marie Brenner, the journalist, once described as New York's "favor economy." |
A project involving two of his kids was investigated by the Manhattan district attorney about a decade ago, but for a variety of reasons there were no indictments. Then, when he was president, he was protected because of a Justice Department opinion against indicting a sitting president. It's worth remembering his company was convicted on 17 counts of tax fraud and other crimes last year. So this is something of a slow roll. |
David: The last few weeks of Republican primary polls have looked pretty good for Trump: He's up, and Ron DeSantis is down. Depending on which polls you believe, Trump either has a sizable lead or the two are close. Apart from the indictment, why do Trump and his team think he's surged? And how do they see the politics of an indictment playing out? |
Maggie: I think nearly every national poll shows Trump with a sizable lead. Polls this early aren't great predictors, but they are a snapshot of what has been pretty durable support Trump has among Republican primary voters. |
Trump's team thinks it's had a pretty good few months politically — it has, in fairness — and that DeSantis has struggled to gain traction. That is striking since DeSantis has been on a book tour. Trump's team believes this indictment will help him raise money and could give him some boost — and maybe political antibodies when and if future indictments come from other investigations. |
It was lost on no one on Trump's team that DeSantis — after initially trying to minimize a possible indictment as an issue that voters care about and speaking about it later than other Republicans — rushed out with a statement once an indictment happened attacking it as "un-American" and saying Florida wouldn't help extradite Trump. It tells you a great deal about the grip Trump still has. |
- The death toll from the tornadoes that tore through the South and Midwest this weekend rose to 23.
- UConn beat Miami to reach the men's N.C.A.A. championship game. The team will face San Diego State, which defeated Florida Atlantic on a buzzer-beater.
- Iowa's win over South Carolina in the women's basketball tournament drew 5.5 million viewers, the largest audience ever for a semifinal.
- Paul Vallas is highlighting his record leading troubled public schools as he runs to be Chicago's mayor.
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Euthanizing an ailing pet is the right choice. It's also a formula for shame and regret, Karen Fine argues. |
The Sunday question: Can protests save Israel's democracy? |
Israelis' disciplined grass-roots resistance succeeded in forcing the government to delay its judicial overhaul plan, says CNN's Frida Ghitis. But the government remains determined, and the debate that underlies the crisis — about how Israel should treat the Palestinians — may divide the opposition, Aaron David Miller and Daniel Kurtzer argue in Foreign Policy. |
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| Low-lying areas in Venice still flood.Laetitia Vancon for The New York Times |
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Lives lived: Margot Stern Strom was a schoolteacher, then started an organization that challenged teenagers to understand the roots of injustice. She died at 81. |
| Rachel Stern for The New York Times |
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Our editors' picks: "The Half Known Life," which examines ideas of paradise around the world, and eight other books. |
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| Juan Arredondo for The New York Times Magazine. |
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- For Western Christians, today is Palm Sunday, the start of Holy Week.
- Iowa and Louisiana State will play for the women's N.C.A.A. basketball championship this afternoon, and the men's final is tomorrow, pitting UConn against San Diego State.
- Trump is expected to surrender in Manhattan on Tuesday.
- Two major elections will be held on Tuesday: A runoff will decide the mayor's race in Chicago, and Wisconsin will fill a vacancy on its state Supreme Court.
- Passover begins at sundown Wednesday.
- The U.S. government will release monthly jobs numbers on Friday.
- The U.S. stock markets will be closed on Good Friday.
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The pangrams from yesterday's Spelling Bee were anticlimactic and claimant. Here is today's puzzle. |
Take the news quiz to see how well you followed the week's headlines. |
Thanks for spending part of your weekend with The Times. — David |
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